The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tala`ea El-Gaish 47.5%
Draw 33.6%
Pharco 18.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.3%
36.3%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
28%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tala`ea El-Gaish that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pharco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
54.5%
0%
Tala`ea El Gaish - Pharco Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. El-Gaish will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. El Sayed E. (C) 24. Awad K. 27. Alaa A. 4. Camacho M. 3. Tarek A. 23. Keita A. 14. Hamdi A. 32. Mostafa Y. 8. Zola A. 12. Mohareb I. 28. Ouro-Agoro I.
25. Shika M. (C) 24. El Bahrawi A. 33. Ndiaye B. 31. Ahmed M. 12. Yassin H. 20. Halimo 13. El Mallah Y. 11. Mostafa W. 22. Ezz M. 32. Ndiay A. 7. El Tayeb K.
Substitutes
19. El Gabry H. 10. Hany M. 9. Hatem F. 21. Khaled Ramadan 7. Omran R. 16. Shaaban M. (G) 6. Sotohi K. 5. Souissi H. 11. Tarek K.
9. Farhat M. 70. Fathy M. 21. Ghouma A. 8. Hosny H. 74. Hussein M. 16. Nadim M. (G) 44. Rashdan A. 23. Sayed M. 10. Yasser M.
Coaches
Mashhour G.
El Ashri T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Yassin H. ↓, Ghouma A. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Mohareb I. ⚽, Ouro-Agoro I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ndiay A. ↓, Farhat M. ↑,
46', Ezz M. ↓, Fathy M. ↑,
46', Halimo ↓, Sayed M. ↑,
48', Ahmed M. 🟨,
54', Ahmed M. ↓, Rashdan A. ↑,
64', Camacho M. 🟨,
71', Keita A. ↓, Tarek K. ↑,
71', Mohareb I. ↓, Khaled Ramadan ↑,
72', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Hatem F. ↑,
84', El Sayed E. 🟨,
84', Zola A. ↓, Souissi H. ↑,
84', Mostafa Y. ↓, Omran R. ↑,
90+2', El Tayeb K. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 2.
In recent matches, El-Gaish has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Pharco is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
El-Gaish may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, El-Gaish is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 0.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
Egypt
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El Sayed E. (C) 
Keita A. 
Ouro-Agoro I. 
Ndiaye B. 
Souissi H. 
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